Clapton vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
63.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clapton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
LOA
3 - 5
CLA
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CLA
1 - 2
STM
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
COC
1 - 1
CLA
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
HOD
0 - 1
CLA
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
CLA
2 - 4
TAK
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
DID
1 - 0
AFD
20%
23%
57%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AFD
2 - 0
COL
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AFD
3 - 1
HAL
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +3 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
AFD
2 - 2
STN
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
AFD
2 - 0
COR
10%
16%
73%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +4 |