Civitavecchia vs Selargius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 2
CIV
40%
25%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CIV
1 - 2
PAL
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SOR
1 - 0
CIV
74%
16%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CIV
2 - 2
FID
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CIT
0 - 0
CIV
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Selargius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SEL
2 - 2
CYN
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ARZ
0 - 2
SEL
34%
25%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SEL
3 - 0
BAC
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
SEL
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SEL
2 - 1
PRO
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |