Civitavecchia vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
OST
3 - 0
CIV
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
2 - 2
ARZ
39%
25%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUP
2 - 2
CIV
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
0 - 2
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 1
CIV
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 2
HYR
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAR
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
ACI
80%
14%
7%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAR
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 2
TOR
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |