Civitavecchia vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
67.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
CIV
56%
22%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CIV
4 - 0
POM
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +3 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 4
CIV
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 1
BUD
31%
26%
44%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CYN
1 - 2
CIV
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 2
PRO
81%
13%
5%
|
60 | 25 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 2
SAL
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 0
SOR
76%
16%
7%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 3
SAL
17%
23%
61%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
0 - 1
CIT
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |