Civitavecchia vs AS Morolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CIV
1 - 2
BUD
43%
25%
33%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
STC
2 - 0
CIV
73%
17%
11%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CIV
3 - 4
ARZ
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GAE
1 - 1
CIV
68%
19%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CIV
2 - 2
FLA
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AS Morolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 1
STC
21%
23%
55%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
FBC
1 - 1
ASM
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 2
BUD
43%
25%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CYN
2 - 0
ASM
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ASM
3 - 2
GAE
21%
24%
55%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +2 |