Civitavecchia vs Lupa Frascati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
CIV
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 0
SEL
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 0
CIV
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CIV
4 - 0
HYR
79%
14%
8%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 3
CAS
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lupa Frascati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LUP
1 - 1
TOR
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
LUP
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LUP
2 - 2
BUD
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 3
LUP
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LUP
2 - 0
PRO
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |