Civitavecchia vs Fidene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CIT
0 - 0
CIV
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CIV
1 - 2
ANZ
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 1
CIV
81%
13%
5%
|
26 | 61 | 35 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CIV
2 - 2
POR
45%
24%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
POM
1 - 1
CIV
72%
18%
11%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FID
0 - 1
CYN
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ARZ
3 - 1
FID
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FID
2 - 2
BAC
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SEL
1 - 1
FID
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FID
1 - 0
PRO
78%
14%
7%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |