Civitavecchia vs Calangianus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 0
CIV
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CIV
0 - 1
USD
43%
25%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
AST
1 - 0
CIV
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CIV
1 - 1
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
CIV
2 - 2
MON
29%
25%
46%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Calangianus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
FBC
0 - 1
GAE
16%
22%
62%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
BUD
1 - 0
FBC
76%
16%
9%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
FBC
1 - 1
ATL
19%
23%
57%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ARZ
6 - 3
FBC
79%
14%
7%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
AFC
3 - 0
FBC
71%
18%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |