Civitanovese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 2
CIV
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CIV
1 - 2
MAC
26%
27%
48%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VIS
2 - 2
CIV
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CIV
1 - 0
MAT
19%
25%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CIV
1 - 0
VIS
25%
26%
49%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SSS
2 - 1
FAN
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 3
SSS
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SSS
4 - 0
GIU
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
OLY
3 - 3
SSS
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
REC
1 - 2
SSS
14%
22%
64%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |