Civitanovese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
SDC
2 - 2
CIV
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CIV
1 - 0
SRM
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 0
CIV
43%
26%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CIV
1 - 1
CAM
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MIG
1 - 1
CIV
26%
24%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 0
REG
30%
29%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 1
SSS
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SSS
1 - 0
UNI
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VNZ
0 - 0
SSS
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 0
LEC
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |