Civitanovese vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RCA
1 - 2
CIV
39%
25%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CIV
0 - 1
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LAQ
1 - 0
CIV
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CIV
1 - 0
LUC
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CSL
0 - 1
CIV
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
REC
0 - 0
MIG
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
EPD
0 - 0
REC
32%
26%
43%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
REC
1 - 2
CHI
32%
27%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ASB
1 - 0
REC
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
REC
1 - 0
MDC
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |