Civitanovese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 1
CIV
33%
25%
43%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 1
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
CIV
48%
24%
27%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CIV
2 - 3
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
CAS
64%
19%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
FER
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
VNZ
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
USC
4 - 3
FER
76%
17%
8%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
FAN
2 - 2
FER
50%
25%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |