Civitanovese vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
CIV
13%
21%
66%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 1
JES
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
CIV
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 0
AST
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OLY
2 - 1
CIV
35%
25%
39%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ANC
4 - 3
TER
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIS
0 - 0
ANC
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ANC
2 - 0
FCC
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 21 | 42 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ANC
1 - 1
JES
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
ANC
14%
23%
63%
|
64 | 28 | 36 | 0 |