Civil Service Strollers vs Lothian Hutchison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civil Service Strollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CIV
3 - 1
GRE
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
STI
3 - 2
CIV
70%
18%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 1
CIV
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 3
LEI
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EDI
2 - 1
CIV
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 2
WHI
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SEL
3 - 1
LOT
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 1
CIV
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
STI
2 - 2
LOT
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 4
AFC
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |