Civil Service Strollers vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civil Service Strollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
HER
1 - 3
CIV
80%
13%
6%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CIV
1 - 2
BER
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 0
CIV
75%
17%
8%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
COL
0 - 1
CIV
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CIV
1 - 0
GAL
42%
23%
34%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
HER
1 - 2
LOT
43%
23%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 2
HER
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SPA
6 - 3
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
HER
1 - 3
CIV
80%
13%
6%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
COL
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |