Scottish Cup 1/128
Global 4-3
Civil Service Strollers vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
50.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civil Service Strollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 2
CIV
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CIV
1 - 2
BSC
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GAL
0 - 2
CIV
25%
22%
54%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CIV
1 - 0
DAL
66%
18%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CIV
1 - 0
CUM
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 2
CIV
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ROT
3 - 1
FOR
17%
19%
64%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
FRA
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
KEI
0 - 3
FOR
7%
14%
78%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CLA
0 - 4
FOR
10%
17%
73%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |