Civics FC vs ASEC Mimosas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
60.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civics FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ASE
3 - 0
CIV
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SAG
2 - 1
CIV
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
CIV
4 - 0
SAG
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
ASEC Mimosas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ASE
3 - 0
CIV
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ASE
3 - 0
EAS
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
EAS
0 - 4
ASE
34%
24%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
ASE
1 - 0
ESP
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ASE
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |