Ciudad de Lucena vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ADS
0 - 2
CDL
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CDL
1 - 0
CON
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +3 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PIL
0 - 3
CDL
15%
21%
65%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDL
2 - 1
CDP
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
POZ
2 - 0
CDL
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
XER
1 - 2
XER
23%
21%
57%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAD
2 - 0
XER
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
CDG
1 - 2
XER
70%
19%
12%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
LEB
2 - 0
XER
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
XER
0 - 2
SAN
12%
20%
68%
|
12 | 47 | 35 | 0 |