Ciudad de Lucena vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
UTR
0 - 1
CDL
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
CDL
4 - 0
MON
79%
15%
7%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 0
CDL
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
CDL
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 2
CEU
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
CAB
0 - 2
UTR
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
UTR
0 - 1
CDL
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
UTR
0 - 3
CIS
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CEU
3 - 3
UTR
40%
27%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 1
ANT
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |