Ciudad de Lucena vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
CDL
54%
24%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CDL
1 - 0
SRQ
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CDA
0 - 2
CDL
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CDL
1 - 0
CIS
58%
21%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
POZ
0 - 1
CDL
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
TAL
2 - 0
UTR
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
UTR
1 - 0
SEV
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
UTR
30%
26%
45%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
UTR
1 - 3
CEU
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
BET
1 - 1
UTR
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |