Ciudad de Lucena vs Nervión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ANT
0 - 1
CDL
68%
18%
15%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CDL
0 - 1
ESP
42%
23%
36%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CDL
2 - 0
PIL
71%
17%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CDP
0 - 3
CDL
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CDL
1 - 2
POZ
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NER
2 - 1
UDM
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 2
NER
13%
19%
69%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ADS
2 - 3
NER
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NER
1 - 1
ROC
38%
25%
37%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
EST
4 - 1
NER
50%
22%
29%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |