Ciudad de Lucena vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
CDL
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CDL
1 - 1
ADS
54%
22%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
CDL
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CDL
0 - 0
EST
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MAI
0 - 0
CDL
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CDA
3 - 0
UDM
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UDM
7 - 2
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ADS
0 - 0
UDM
56%
21%
22%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 1
ROC
43%
25%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
EST
3 - 2
UDM
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |