Ciudad de Lucena vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MAI
0 - 0
CDL
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CDL
2 - 0
NER
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ANT
0 - 1
CDL
68%
18%
15%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CDL
0 - 1
ESP
42%
23%
36%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CDL
2 - 0
PIL
71%
17%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
EST
3 - 2
UDM
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
EST
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
ADS
52%
22%
26%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
EST
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
CDA
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |