Ciudad de Lucena vs Conil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CEU
1 - 0
CDL
52%
26%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
CDL
1 - 0
BET
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CRD
1 - 3
CDL
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CDL
2 - 1
LEB
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
XER
0 - 2
CDL
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
SEV
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
ARC
1 - 1
CON
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CEU
3 - 1
CON
70%
19%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
BET
12%
18%
70%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CRD
1 - 2
CON
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |