Ciudad de Lucena vs Conil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
PIL
0 - 3
CDL
15%
21%
65%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDL
2 - 1
CDP
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
POZ
2 - 0
CDL
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CDL
3 - 0
MON
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ATC
0 - 1
CDL
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
CON
1 - 3
SAN
14%
24%
62%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
CEU
23%
26%
51%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +3 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CRD
3 - 1
CON
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
ASJ
34%
27%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 1
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |