Ciudad de Lucena vs Salerm Puente Genil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SEV
1 - 2
CDL
24%
26%
49%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CDL
2 - 0
CIS
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
CDL
25%
26%
49%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 0
XER
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 1
CDL
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Salerm Puente Genil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CDA
0 - 0
CAC
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
UTR
0 - 1
CDA
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CDA
2 - 1
UDT
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
REC
2 - 0
CDA
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CDA
0 - 3
CRD
37%
24%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |