Ciudad de Lucena vs Cabecense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CDL
3 - 2
CAC
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CDL
2 - 1
CRD
53%
23%
25%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
UTR
0 - 2
CDL
55%
26%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
REC
1 - 0
CDL
60%
24%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CDL
2 - 0
UDT
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
UDT
2 - 0
CAB
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAB
3 - 0
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAC
3 - 1
CAB
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CAB
2 - 0
CDA
21%
24%
56%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +3 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
UTR
3 - 0
CAB
79%
15%
7%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |