Ciudad de Lucena vs Cabecense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 0
CDL
43%
24%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CDL
0 - 4
SRQ
57%
21%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 1
CDL
39%
25%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CDL
1 - 2
SEV
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CIS
1 - 0
CDL
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
CAB
3 - 3
CRD
11%
21%
68%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ALG
1 - 0
CAB
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAB
3 - 1
CDG
41%
26%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
XER
2 - 0
CAB
48%
23%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
CAB
1 - 1
LEB
31%
26%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |