Ciudad de Lucena vs Los Barrios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 1
CDL
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CDL
1 - 2
SEV
70%
18%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CIS
3 - 1
CDL
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CDL
4 - 1
CON
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
XER
3 - 0
CDL
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Los Barrios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAC
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
UTR
3 - 0
BAR
78%
15%
7%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
UDT
37%
26%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
REC
2 - 0
BAR
82%
13%
5%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 3
CRD
13%
20%
67%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |