Ciudad de Lucena vs La Barrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ANT
1 - 0
CDL
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CDL
1 - 2
ESP
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDL
4 - 3
LAV
69%
18%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CIU
1 - 1
CDL
28%
23%
50%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CDL
2 - 2
POZ
29%
25%
47%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
La Barrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
UDM
2 - 1
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 3
ANT
38%
27%
35%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
ESP
31%
25%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LAV
2 - 1
BAR
23%
22%
56%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
CIU
69%
19%
13%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |