Ciudad de Lucena vs Atlético Espeleño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CDL
2 - 0
PIL
71%
17%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CDP
0 - 3
CDL
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CDL
1 - 2
POZ
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MON
0 - 4
CDL
16%
20%
64%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CDL
1 - 0
ATC
66%
18%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Espeleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
3 - 2
ESP
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 0
PEN
84%
12%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ADS
0 - 1
ESP
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 0
ROC
47%
25%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
ESP
34%
23%
44%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |