Ciudad de Lucena vs Almodóvar del Río analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
XER
0 - 0
CDL
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CDL
1 - 0
ADS
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
CDL
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
POZ
0 - 1
CDL
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
CDL
3 - 0
CAR
45%
24%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Almodóvar del Río
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 3
XER
15%
21%
64%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAD
5 - 0
ALM
81%
14%
6%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 1
LCF
20%
22%
58%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 1
CCF
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
OVA
2 - 0
ALM
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |