Ciudad Jardin vs Union Gerena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+112%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad Jardin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CJA
2 - 2
TOR
40%
24%
37%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 1
CJA
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CJA
3 - 3
TAB
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 0
CJA
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CJA
3 - 1
VIS
43%
22%
35%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Union Gerena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UGR
2 - 2
TOR
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 1
UGR
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UGR
1 - 3
VIS
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UBB
1 - 4
UGR
21%
20%
60%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
UGR
1 - 1
ATC
25%
21%
55%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |