Cittanova vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
NOC
0 - 0
CCI
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CCI
3 - 3
PAL
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
CCI
45%
23%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CCI
2 - 1
CIT
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GEL
1 - 6
CCI
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 0
MES
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 0
ROC
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 4
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
ASD
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 0
ROC
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |