Cittanova vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 0
CCI
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CCI
1 - 1
SSC
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MES
2 - 0
CCI
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CCI
2 - 4
PAL
5%
14%
81%
|
32 | 75 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FCS
3 - 0
CCI
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MES
3 - 2
LIC
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ROC
3 - 1
MES
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MES
2 - 0
CCI
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
MES
34%
27%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MES
0 - 1
MDR
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |