Cittanova vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
PAL
4 - 1
CCI
90%
9%
2%
|
31 | 75 | 44 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CCI
2 - 1
FCS
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ACC
0 - 1
CCI
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
CIT
2 - 0
CCI
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CCI
0 - 0
HYR
54%
22%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MES
0 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MDR
0 - 1
MES
38%
24%
39%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MES
3 - 1
USC
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
STO
2 - 0
MES
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MES
3 - 0
ACI
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |