Cittanova vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
51.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
CCI
82%
13%
4%
|
25 | 69 | 44 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CCI
1 - 0
ROT
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
CCI
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
USC
1 - 0
CCI
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CCI
5 - 0
ACP
78%
14%
9%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 2
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FCI
3 - 0
MES
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MES
0 - 3
BAR
10%
23%
67%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
CIT
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 1
FCI
46%
24%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |