Cittanova vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GEL
1 - 6
CCI
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CCI
2 - 2
LOC
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
USC
3 - 2
CCI
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CCI
0 - 1
TUR
33%
23%
45%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ACI
2 - 0
CCI
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CIT
0 - 2
MAR
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MES
0 - 0
CIT
80%
12%
7%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CIT
1 - 3
BAR
10%
21%
70%
|
27 | 68 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ROT
4 - 2
CIT
35%
24%
42%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CIT
3 - 2
SAN
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |