Cittanova vs San Luca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
CCI
0 - 1
DAT
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 1
CCI
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
USC
2 - 0
CCI
47%
25%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
CCI
0 - 1
ASD
47%
25%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CCI
2 - 1
ROC
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
BIA
3 - 2
LUC
26%
22%
51%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LUC
2 - 1
MDR
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 1
MES
36%
27%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
LUC
31%
23%
47%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
LUC
2 - 1
LIC
54%
22%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |