Cittanova vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
68.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ROT
0 - 1
CCI
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CCI
1 - 1
SAN
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CCI
2 - 2
ASD
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ROC
4 - 1
CCI
44%
23%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
CCI
3 - 1
NOC
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAR
9%
21%
70%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
MES
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
ROC
80%
15%
5%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 2
BAR
10%
21%
69%
|
68 | 22 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASD
82%
14%
4%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | -1 |