Cittadella U19 vs FC Alessandria U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
55.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
16º
15º
23
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
REN
2 - 2
CIT
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CIT
0 - 2
COM
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CIT
1 - 4
CRE
11%
18%
71%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 2
CIT
33%
22%
46%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CIT
1 - 3
PAD
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
USA
2 - 0
PAD
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 0
USA
20%
19%
61%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
USA
1 - 0
VEN
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CRE
4 - 0
USA
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
USA
1 - 3
REG
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |