FC Messina vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GEL
1 - 0
CIT
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CIT
0 - 1
PAL
51%
22%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
USC
3 - 0
CIT
46%
24%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CIT
2 - 1
FCI
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
LOC
1 - 2
CIT
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
NOC
1 - 1
ACI
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
LOC
2 - 2
NOC
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 0
TUR
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
CCI
3 - 1
NOC
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |