FC Messina vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 0
GEL
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 1
ACI
55%
23%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CIT
7 - 1
ROC
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 3
CIT
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 1
USC
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
GEL
2 - 1
BIA
76%
18%
7%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
LIC
1 - 3
GEL
41%
27%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
GEL
3 - 0
GIA
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
USC
0 - 4
GEL
19%
27%
54%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SMC
0 - 0
GEL
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |