FC Messina vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 1
ACI
55%
23%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CIT
7 - 1
ROC
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 3
CIT
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 1
USC
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
GEL
51%
26%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 1
LUC
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 0
PAT
56%
25%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
DAT
0 - 1
GEL
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GEL
4 - 0
ROC
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
GEL
51%
26%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |