FC Messina vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
LIC
0 - 1
CIT
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 1
ACI
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ROT
1 - 1
CIT
30%
28%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 3
CIT
14%
23%
63%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CIT
3 - 1
BIA
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
GEL
1 - 3
USC
56%
25%
19%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
GEL
1 - 0
ROT
54%
26%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
LIC
2 - 2
GEL
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 1
CCI
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ACI
0 - 1
GEL
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |