FC Messina vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CIT
1 - 1
USV
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 1
CIT
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CIT
3 - 0
COM
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
CIT
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 1
CIT
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 1
GEL
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GEL
1 - 0
AGR
58%
22%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
NOT
0 - 1
GEL
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
GEL
0 - 0
ACI
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NIS
2 - 0
GEL
27%
26%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |