FC Messina vs Montalto Comprensorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CIT
3 - 1
FCS
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 2
CIT
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CIT
1 - 0
AGR
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
3 - 3
CIT
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CIT
2 - 0
ACI
78%
15%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Montalto Comprensorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
RIO
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
AGR
1 - 0
COM
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
NOT
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ACI
1 - 4
COM
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
COM
3 - 0
NIS
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |