FC Messina vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CIT
1 - 2
ACC
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 4
CIT
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CIT
1 - 1
LIC
16%
22%
62%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CIT
2 - 1
MDR
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 1
CIT
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CCI
0 - 0
HYR
54%
22%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
LIC
3 - 2
CCI
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CCI
0 - 1
BIA
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CCI
1 - 0
ACC
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 1
CCI
55%
22%
24%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |