FC Messina vs Troina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 0
GEL
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 1
ACI
55%
23%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CIT
7 - 1
ROC
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 3
CIT
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 1
USC
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
GIA
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SMC
2 - 1
ASD
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 0
TRA
8%
18%
74%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
REN
0 - 0
ASD
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |