FC Messina vs Troina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
42.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CIT
1 - 3
POR
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
CIT
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 4
GEL
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
CIT
47%
22%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
CIT
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
GEL
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LOC
3 - 0
ASD
24%
21%
56%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
USC
65%
19%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TUR
3 - 1
ASD
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 1
ACI
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |